In this paper we aimed to quantify the impact of climate and land-use change on the extinction risk of metapopulations, as an explicit measure of species persistence. The extinction risk of metapopulations can be approximated through simple models, providing a regional snapshot of the extinction probability of a species. We evaluated the extinction risk of three species under different climate change scenarios in three different regions of the Mexican cloud forest, a highly fragmented habitat that is particularly vulnerable to climate change.
Ponce-Reyes, R., Nicholson, E., Baxter, P.W.J., Fuller, R.A. & Possingham, H. (2013) Extinction risk in cloud forest fragments under climate change and habitat loss. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 518-529.